Here’s a situation.
I give you $300 with the following options:
a) Give you $100 dollar more
b) toss a coin and give you $200 more if you won and nothing if you lose
It was found that most preferred option a.
Here’s a little change
I give you $500 with the following options:
c) you need to give me back $100
d) toss a coin and pay $200 if you lost but nothing if you win
Now the option d was a more preferred one.
But from the probabilistic theory all these four choices are identical. They all have the expected value of $400. Then why do we have such strong preferences?
Because we are more willing to gamble when it comes to losses but are risk averse when it comes to gains.
interesting!… i likes
btw did you come up with this??!
theCipher
9 Feb 10 at 5:26 pm