Waamax

About Anything … Almost

Preferences

with one comment

Here’s a situation.

I give you $300 with the following options:
a) Give you $100 dollar more
b) toss a coin and give you $200 more if you won and nothing if you lose

It was found that most preferred option a.

Here’s a little change

I give you $500 with the following options:
c) you need to give me back $100
d) toss a coin and pay $200 if you lost but nothing if you win

Now the option d was a more preferred one.
But from the probabilistic theory all these four choices are identical. They all have the expected value of $400. Then why do we have such strong preferences?

Because we are more willing to gamble when it comes to losses but are risk averse when it comes to gains.

Written by admin

January 22nd, 2010 at 10:16 am

Posted in Uncategorized

One Response to 'Preferences'

Subscribe to comments with RSS or TrackBack to 'Preferences'.

  1. interesting!… i likes :)

    btw did you come up with this??!

    theCipher

    9 Feb 10 at 5:26 pm

Leave a Reply

*
To prove you're a person (not a spam script), type the security word shown in the picture. Click on the picture to hear an audio file of the word.
Click to hear an audio file of the anti-spam word